Friday, October 17, 2014

Analysis of Hinxton3 - ERS389797


Hinxton3, or ERS389797, is one of five ancient English genomes stored at the Sequence Read Archive under accession number ERP003900. However, this analysis is based on the genotype file of Hinxton3 available at Genetic Genealogy Tools. For more information and some speculation about these genomes see my earlier blog post here.

Despite the exaggerated North Sea score in the Eurogenes K15, Hinxton3 could easily pass for a present-day Briton from the eastern coast of England or Scotland, albeit with a stronger than usual pull towards Scandinavia. Indeed, the f3-statistics show that it shares most genetic drift with the British and Icelanders from Eurogenes and Human Origins, respectively.



Shared drift stats of the form f3(Mbuti;Hinxton3,Test) - Eurogenes dataset

Shared drift stats of the form f3(Mbuti;Hinxton3,Test) - Human Origins dataset



Eurogenes K15 4 Ancestors Oracle results

See also...

Analysis of Hinxton2 - ERS389796

Analysis of Hinxton4 - ERS389798

Analysis of Hinxton5 - ERS389799

Hinxton ancient genomes roundup

68 comments:

  1. You called it Hinxton-2 in one of the sentences.

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  2. Did you get a call for any of the Hinxtons in SNP rs1805008, or any other red hair associated SNP. It would make sense something around 30% or more of early Germans and Belgea-Britons were carriers of red hair.

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  3. Which SNPs do you want to check? Maybe make a list and I'll post the genotypes here.

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  4. Thanks alot.

    Red hair associated.

    rs1805007
    rs1805008*
    rs1805009
    rs11547464
    rs1110400
    rs34474212

    Eye color

    rs12913832
    rs4778241
    rs1129038
    rs12593929

    Selected Hirisplex SNPs
    rs16891982*
    rs12821256*
    rs4959270
    rs1800407
    rs2378249
    rs12896399
    rs1393350
    rs2228479

    Lactose tolerance
    rs4988235

    "Warrior gene"
    rs4680

    Others
    rs7632287
    rs180095

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  5. Is Hinxton 4's shared drift and plot almost done? I am still wondering if 3 is in fact a Celt, with number 5, being an Anglo-Saxon.

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  6. David,
    Which plot up top is the Eurogenes one? Top or bottom?

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  7. Bazza, here...

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9o3EYTdM8lQU2FjNk9kRzdva2M/view?usp=sharing

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9o3EYTdM8lQVU96TG1EcEpLX0U/view?usp=sharing

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9o3EYTdM8lQb1N1WElFSm94T0E/view?usp=sharing

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9o3EYTdM8lQeUQ5bGNXekhJX1U/view?usp=sharing

    Keep in mind that the Hinxton4 files are still incomplete.

    Chad,

    The first plot is the Eurogenes one. The PDF is labeled Eurogenes.

    I probably won't have Hinxton4 done until Monday morning, and Hinxton5 not until the mid week. But I doubt Hinxton3 is a Celt, considering its crazy North Sea score.

    There's a slim chance that Hinxton1 might be a Celt, but I'm expecting 4 and 5 to be the Iron Age Celts, with North Sea scores well under 40% and West Med just over 10%.

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  8. ""Warrior gene"
    rs4680"

    Interesting thought.

    If there are warrior/psycho genes then it seems likely (to me anyway) that "barbarians" from those times would have a higher proportion.

    (barbarian specifically as everyone is expected to fight whereas i think settled populations specialize over time towards professional soldiers)

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  9. "If there are warrior/psycho genes then it seems likely (to me anyway) that "barbarians" from those times would have a higher proportion.

    (barbarian specifically as everyone is expected to fight whereas i think settled populations specialize over time towards professional soldiers)"

    I wasn't so much interested in the Hinxtons results, as in stone age ones. You never know there may have been character traits of ancient ANE, WHG, and EEF, that have been diluted overtime. I don't trust the warrior gene, so I threw out a few other behavior-associated SNPs.

    I think the warrior gene is a bit exaggerated and gets attention for obvious reasons, including ethnocentrism.

    I bet people were a little tougher in that era simply because of their life-style, culture, and circumstances. It's not like they were naturally more aggressive than their descendants though. 2/3 of the Anglo-Saxon samples were old women so......

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  10. David,
    On your k13 spreadsheet, you've replaced Hinxton 1's data with Hinxton 4. Just an FYI.

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  11. No, that's the updated K13 for Hinxton1 based on the new file. It's similar to that of Hinxton4, but with some important subtle differences IMO.

    Hinxton1 K13

    North_Atlantic 51.9
    Baltic 25.21
    West_Med 11.63
    West_Asian 7.24
    East_Med 0.03
    Red_Sea 2.28
    South_Asian 0
    East_Asian 0
    Siberian 0
    Amerindian 0.34
    Oceanian 0.21
    Northeast_African 1.07
    Sub-Saharan 0.08


    Hinxton4 K13

    North_Atlantic 51.42
    Baltic 25.07
    West_Med 15.8
    West_Asian 4.23
    East_Med 0.02
    Red_Sea 0
    South_Asian 2.58
    East_Asian 0
    Siberian 0
    Amerindian 0
    Oceanian 0
    Northeast_African 0
    Sub-Saharan 0.87

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  12. Hinxton-1 45.69%EEF 38.47%WHG 15.83%ANE
    Hinxton-2 41.37%EEF 41.89%WHG 16.74%ANE
    Hinxton-3 45.00%EEF 38.79%WHG 16.21%ANE
    Hinxton-4 44.80%EEF 39.60%WHG 15.60%ANE

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  13. It looks as if Hinxton 4, may fall just 'West' of Hinxton 1.

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  14. Hinxton4 clusters with Cornish and some northern French samples on the Eurogenes and Human Oirgins West Eurasian PCA based on the SNPs from the four runs available, but I guess we'll see if that's the case with the full file from the 10 runs.

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  15. With his EEF 10% lower than northern French? That's different.

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  16. I don't think I've seen any EEF estimates for northern France. But they'd probably be lower than for the unsorted French bunch from Eurogenes/HGDP.

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  17. Davidski,

    Do you know why alot NW europeans have significant higher Baltic than Eastern Euro and vice versa?

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  18. I don't yet know, but I suspect it's related to WHG/ANE ratios and the Indo-European expansions.

    It seems that Baltic is associated more with WHG, while Eastern Euro is linked to ANE and the Indo-Europeans.

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  19. "You never know there may have been character traits of ancient ANE, WHG, and EEF, that have been diluted overtime.

    Yes or emphasised over time. I posted this comment at the bottom of the old thread:

    Another factor to bear in mind for genetic changes (and the increase in EEF) - the massive expansion of the peasantry into the urban lower classes during and since the IR. If the Norman upper classes were predominantly Nordic (WHG+ANE), and the peasant life-style gradually favoured EEF amongst that caste during the Middle Ages, then the change in survival patterns with the IR may have led to a further expansion of EEF with the lower classes. Peasants/ farmers/ EEF. (Aristocrat/ conqueror/ ruler/ Nordic)

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  20. Apparently, Hinxton-1 is testing positive for markers down around DF25.

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  21. Laz, had the French at 55/31/14, or there about. English are 50/35/15.

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  22. Comparing 1 and 4 mostly trading off West Asian plus Red Sea for West Med by the looks of it? Also some trading off of Northeast African for South Asian, may just be noise.

    4 does from this seem to look basically like the Southwest English sample average, replacing a minority 2.5% East Med (in SW English) with Baltic (in Hinxton 4), assuming the South Asian is just noise. Or alternatively 4 is like the Orcadian average if its 2.5% East Med was switched to West Med.

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  23. Everyone would agree that the main source of the extra-southern affinity of modern NW Europeans compared to Anglo-Saxons and Iron age Britons one way or another had to of come from France, Iberia, and or central Europe, right? There's no way everyone in NW Europe at this time was that northern, unless Gaul was swarmed by Iberians. There obviously isn't a high amount of Italian, Balkan, and west Asian ancestry, that would have probably come through the Roman empire. The change came from other regions of west Europe.

    So going off trends would these general admixtures explain west Europeans.

    Gaul+Balt+Anglo Saxon=Germans and Danes.

    Balt+Anglo Saxon=Swedish-Norwegians.

    Iberian-Gaul+Briton=Gealics.

    Iberian-Gaul+Hinxton+Italian=Welsh and Cornish

    Iberian+Italian+NW African=Spainish and Portuguese.

    Iberian-Gaul+Briton+Anglo Saxon+Italian+Balt=English

    I know there may have been other distinct populations in ancient west Europe, but these represent general trends of ancestry in my opinion.

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  24. "Do you know why alot NW europeans have significant higher Baltic than Eastern Euro and vice versa?"

    Just a guess but i think it will turn out that the big division between WHG and ANE is coastal/riverine vs deep interior.

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  25. barakobama what do you think about the general admixtures in the Dutch?

    Davidski and Grey, thank you for the information.

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  26. Here's my k36, which is going to be about average for SE English

    16.76 North Sea
    15.61 Iberian
    12.45 North Atlantic
    11.26 Fenno Scandia
    10.54 Italian
    9.13 French
    6.18 East Euro
    5.61 Central Euro
    5.21 East Central Euro
    4.14 Basque

    The rest is small amounts of East Med and Balkans

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  27. Hinxton 3

    k36

    31.86 North Sea
    21.30 North Atlantic
    11.64 Fennoscandia
    8.13 Central Euro
    6.39 French
    5.25 Iberian
    4.66 Basque
    3.28 West Caucasian
    2.76 Italian
    2.23 North Caucasian
    1.09 South Central Asian

    The rest is trace amounts



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  28. BTW, Hinxton-1, is now DF25/S253+

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  29. Hinxton-2

    27.73 North Sea
    24.90 North Atlantic
    10.55 Italian
    10.40 Fennoscandia
    7.25 Central Euro
    5.80 Eastern Euro
    5.70 French
    2.77 Basque
    2.24 East Central Euro
    1.87 Volga Ural
    0.79 South Central Asian

    That's all she gets.

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  30. Some playing around with the 3 German groups came up with stuff like (limited to a single German group at a time):

    Northgerman:
    2pops: North-Dutch + Danish
    4 pops: 50% Irish + 25% Danish + 25% Hungarian

    Westgerman:
    2 pops: French + Swedish
    4 pops: 75% South Dutch + 25% Greek

    Eastgerman:
    2pops: 50% South-Dutch + 50% South-Polish
    4pops: 50% Southpolish + 25% Southwest English + 25% Soutwest French

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  31. Davidski:

    There's a slim chance that Hinxton1 might be a Celt

    If Hinxton1 is not a Celt, what do you think it will be?

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  32. "Who are the "Gealics"?"

    Celtic speaking people who lived in Ireland at least as far back as Roman times, and conquered northern Britain and Isle of man. Basically what I mean is Irish and northern Scottish, Celtic people who were never under the Roman empire.

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  33. Chad, I'm not attacking you but do you remember when you said R1b-L11 slowly rose in percentage independently across western Europe, and only got as high as it is today after the middle ages? 1 Anglo Saxon and 1 Iron age Briton, both have L11. There's plenty of Y DNA from early medieval Spain to add on.

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  34. I said it may not have been over 50% until the Early Middle Ages (500CE). England is at 67% Spain 69%, Portugal 56%, Wales 83%, France 59%. Still possible, for almost all of those places.

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  35. If it weren't for the Basque and Catalonia, R1b would be about the same in France and Spain.

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  36. The DF25 marker of Hinxton-1 looks to be overwhelmingly a Scottish/Irish/Welsh marker.

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  37. Barak,
    For Western Europe, as a whole, it's still possible.

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  38. "Barak,
    For Western Europe, as a whole, it's still possible."

    Sure, I mean it's all speculation. We can both agree L11 becoming the dominate paternal lineage everywhere west of Poland wasn't by luck there was a common reason. I tend to think it's been dominate like today since at least the Iron age.

    I wouldn't separate west Europe in a way as Spain, France, Portugal, England, etc, especially for Romance speaking nations(not exactly an Iron age ethnic bound like in Ireland). We should break down the best we can.

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  39. Maciamo at Eupedia reckons that some of these Hinxton samples are similar to eastern Germans from Mecklenburg or thereabouts.

    He based his analysis on the calculator results provided by our schizophrenic friend Genetiker.

    Comedians, both of them. :)

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  40. Barak,
    It had to be gradual. R1b didn't sweep in and instantly replace 60% of the ydna. It's in pockets today too. One part of Ireland is 94%, the next is 70%. One part of France is 80%, another 30%. It goes back and forth.

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  41. Tweets from the ASHG are at this link...

    https://twitter.com/hashtag/ASHG14?src=hash

    The talks on ancient DNA aren't until Monday morning San Diego time, starting at 10:30am.

    But I have no idea if anyone will be tweeting or blogging from the Corded Ware and Hinxton talks.

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  42. If you had R1b northern herders (more WHG/ANE) over-running central farmers (more WHG/EEF) with a lot of surviving farmer dna (especially mtdna) (but perhaps low status i.e. peasantry) with a bounce back in the percentage of autosomal farmer dna either over time or through some particular event e.g. the IR, then it seems to me that would fit the data quite well.

    I think some specifically north Wales mountain dna (relatively unmixed) would clinch it.

    The variation across Europe would then mostly revolve around the original proportions of herder to surviving farmer dna i.e. more in north Germany than west Germany and more in West Germany than in France etc.

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  43. Hinxton-2 on that K36. Has no iberian at all, which I haven't seen in any modern Brit-Irish population. But scores very high on North Sea.

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  44. Sorry, I haven't been paying attention to the type of R1b carried by Hinxton1.

    So it's DF25 is it? That would match the admixture and f3 shared drift results very nicely.

    But isn't this sample the one with little or no Gedrosia? OMG, is it possible for someone with very little Gedrosia to belong to R1b? Gee, I dunno, maybe we should consult Genetiker about this? Is there a Genetiker hotline that we can call?

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  45. "Is there a Genetiker hotline that we can call?"

    1-800-dumb-ass.

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  46. @David and Obama
    So! today is the day! though it is not sure how we will get the data...
    But let be very specific here David,
    On Samara before the turn around ~4000 B.C. What do you expect from aDNA? Do you expect them to be Totally ANE+R1a1a or You expect other Components+Hgs also! which is more practical?

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  47. Felix uploaded the Iron age Brit; Hinxton-4, to GEDmatch(kit # F999925). His results in K13 are very similar to Irish, Orcadian, and west Scottish(about as similar as they are to each other). It's obvious now the most-Anglo Saxon-like samples are Hinxton 2 and 3, and that Anglo-Saxon Hinxton-1 had a significant amount of Breton ancestry.

    In K15 Hinxton-4's closest to Irish, West Scottish, and southeast English(Cornish). He scores several percentages lower in North Sea, higher in Baltic, and lower in east Euro than Irish-west Scottish.

    Cornish score around the same North Sea, but the differences Hinxton-4 had with Irish-west Scottish is even greater, including having less west Med and east med than Cornish and more Atlantic.

    Felix confirmed that Hinxton-4 belongs to Df25, which people on Anthrogencia say is a popular branch of L21 all over Britain and Ireland today.

    My guess is that he had mostly Breton ancestry not Belgea, because he's so similar to Irish-west Scottish, and belonged to Y DNA R1b-Df25. Of course though no one knows for sure what the Belgea were genetically, and what paternal lineages they belonged to.

    Assuming Hinxton-4 is a good representative of Iron age Brits and Hinxton-2-3 are good representatives of Iron age Germans in Denmark, it can be concluded they largely came from the same bronze age stock. I hope tomorrow we'll learn the origin of their bronze age ancestors. The continental Celts probably just had more native-Neolithic descended west European ancestry than Germans and British-Irish Celts.

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  48. Barak,
    I agree for the most part. The big difference between the two is that Anglo-Saxons are probably more LBK and Funnelbeaker, while Britons are more Atlantic Megalith. Both come from Corded Beaker, so no surprise. Hinxton 2 and 3 could still be admixed. Let's wait for David's plot here. It could also be revealed that the English are more Briton, than Anglo-Saxon, when we consider that all of Northern Europe has become more Med and Baltic. That would move the Saxons more into the Sea/Danish samples, and Hinxton 4 into the core of England.

    On your other point, yes it seems there was a massive divide between Northern and Southern Europe. More than today. I could imagine only a 50-60% EEF population in Northern Europe, prior to the Bronze Age. Then considering the Migration period of several Germanic tribes, one wonders how much EEF was lost in those movements. Probably minimal, but not totally insignificant.

    Fanty,
    Are you East Germanic? I am wondering how East Germanic people score on the k13, as far as a Baltic shift.

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  49. When referring to the EEF loss, I am talking about the Alps region, plus France, Spain,... etc.. Gothic, Frank, and Alemannic migration.

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  50. I'm off tomorrow. I'll follow the tweets.

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  51. "I agree for the most part. The big difference between the two is that Anglo-Saxons are probably more LBK and Funnelbeaker, while Britons are more Atlantic Megalith. Both come from Corded Beaker,"

    I never though of that. The whole Corded ware-Bell Beaker-Unetice phenomenon, plus Stuttgart-like decended Neolithic people must be why early Germans and Celts were so similar.

    "On your other point, yes it seems there was a massive divide between Northern and Southern Europe. More than today"

    Maybe geography has something to do with it. Northwest Europeans may have been at about the same EEF-WHG-ANE ratio as northeast Europeans back then. There's a big difference between Southwest Europeans and southeast Europeans though.

    Southwest European's near eastern ancestry mostly comes from EEF, while southeast Europeans have a significant chunk of post-Neolithic near eastern ancestry. But still there's a big split between Greeks and Turks or Cypriots. Obviously because Greeks have a significant amount of European-specific WHG and near eastern ancestry.

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  52. Nirjhar007,

    I don't think today is the day. If we're lucky we'll hear which modern populations the different Neolithic/early Bronze Age Central European groups resembled most, and whether the Corded Ware, Bell Beaker and Unetice samples carried R1a and/or R1b. We might also hear if the Corded Ware and Unetice people were similar to the Samara Valley groups.

    But that's if we're lucky. For more details we'll have to wait for the manuscripts at bioRxiv/arXiv, or even the full papers in journals. That could take months.

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  53. @David
    ''I don't think today is the day. If we're lucky we'll hear which modern populations the different Neolithic/early Bronze Age Central European groups resembled most, and whether the Corded Ware, Bell Beaker and Unetice samples carried R1a and/or R1b. We might also hear if the Corded Ware and Unetice people were similar to the Samara Valley groups.

    But that's if we're lucky. For more details we'll have to wait for the manuscripts at bioRxiv/arXiv, or even the full papers in journals. That could take months.''
    No friends of your attending the conference who can give you the important data? BTW Is Y-DNA from Samara expected?...

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  54. As far as I know, the chips used to test the Corded Ware and Samara genomes were the same. If so, SNPs from the Y-chromosome were tested for these samples.

    I don't know anyone personally who's attending the conference, but some people who I know online will be there, and maybe they'll share some info. Also, tweets from the talks are at this link...

    https://twitter.com/hashtag/ashg14?f=realtime&src=hash

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  55. Off topic, but interesting

    .@1000genomes YH recent expansion in South Asian and East Asian populations more modern than African and European expansion from 3-5000ya

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  56. @David
    ''As far as I know, the chips used to test the Corded Ware and Samara genomes were the same. If so, SNPs from the Y-chromosome were tested for these samples.

    I don't know anyone personally who's attending the conference, but some people who I know online will be there, and maybe they'll share some info. Also, tweets from the talks are at this link...

    https://twitter.com/hashtag/ashg14?f=realtime&src=hash''
    I am keeping an eye on that link from before but whatever data you get please update us if possible with new posts, These aDNA data will be Monumental!...
    Good Day Mate;)...

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  57. David,
    What do you think the chances are, of Goths leaving a signal that can be detected today? Check out the K15, North Sea, in Southern France and NW Iberia, with a trickle into NW Africa. Plus a strong possible signal of Germanic movement into Ukraine. Maybe it's bullshit, but very interesting correlation. Of course, some of it could be Celtic related, but still fun to play around with.

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  58. Of course, some will probably be older than these recent tribes, but the upswings in percentages are in the right spots.

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  59. David,
    Do you think these components are older? Say North Sea is more Corded Beaker, and Baltic more Corded Ware, or is it likely not associated with any ancient groups, but modern constructs and drift?

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  60. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  61. Here's a West Eurasian PCA of Hinxton4 using the Human Origins dataset.

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9o3EYTdM8lQVW5rVVhnbHAyMEE/view?usp=sharing

    Way out west baby.

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  62. "Way out west baby."

    http://berrymii.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/baby-shocked-face-03-copy1.jpg?w=400

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  63. Bam! West of Hinxton 1. It doesn't look so impossible that the English are 30-40% continental, now.

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  64. "It doesn't look so impossible that the English are 30-40% continental, now."

    30% E1b in parts of North Wales

    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-north-east-wales-14173910

    "So far, 500 people have taken part in the study which shows 30% of men carry an unusual type of Y chromosome, compared to 1% of men elsewhere the UK."

    also

    https://www.familytreedna.com/public/walesdna/default.aspx?section=yresults

    https://www.sheffield.ac.uk/archaeology/research/copper-mines/index

    If "North_Wales" was available as a reference population then might something like this:

    Hinxton 3

    k36

    31.86 North Sea
    21.30 North Atlantic
    11.64 Fennoscandia
    8.13 Central Euro
    6.39 French
    5.25 Iberian
    4.66 Basque
    3.28 West Caucasian
    2.76 Italian
    2.23 North Caucasian
    1.09 South Central Asian

    turn into something like:

    31.86 North Sea
    21.30 North Atlantic
    11.64 Fennoscandia
    35.20 North_Wales

    ?

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  65. It's a haplogroup... doesn't mean a great deal, when it comes to autosomal comparisons. The Welsh are probably between the Cornish and Irish. There's Bashkir groups over 80% R1b. Does that mean that they are predominately Western European like? Of course not.

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  66. "It's a haplogroup... doesn't mean a great deal, when it comes to autosomal comparisons"

    It's an odd (for the region) haplogroup in a possible refuge area.

    This might mean a lot of things but one of the things it might mean is a distinct pre-Celtic population that survives in both y dna and mtdna in a small refuge region in North Wales but may have survived over a much wider area as mtdna - hence a possible autosomal effect without y dna.


    http://i4.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article2235238.ece/alternates/s2197/catherine-zeta-jones-TOPIC.jpg

    Italian or Welsh?

    ReplyDelete

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